Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 105.643856 117.235227 129.191449 142.418389 156.613848 171.364465 187.823494
2024-10-20 83.921571 100.550391 118.637736 139.655471 163.287078 188.919791 218.705533
2024-10-27 68.146953 87.950339 110.604954 138.143758 170.413266 206.732720 250.395106
2024-11-03 58.946013 81.449676 108.389961 142.451873 183.786807 231.750318 291.013213
2024-11-10 51.007443 75.280991 105.619013 145.391115 195.195515 254.554438 329.648261
2024-11-17 44.902537 70.527316 103.860687 149.013032 207.144934 278.053276 369.578342
2024-11-24 40.228705 66.997117 103.130657 153.543437 220.059598 302.845957 411.557958
2024-12-01 33.077184 59.039642 95.625771 148.408379 219.974398 311.026781 432.830586
2024-12-08 28.010742 53.416925 90.692156 146.139069 223.171654 323.093897 458.931131
2024-12-15 24.700132 50.025724 88.546084 147.395740 230.881160 340.958367 492.624605
2024-12-22 22.099968 47.414354 87.246724 149.617585 239.790328 360.438384 528.661596
2024-12-29 20.616194 46.473147 88.343460 155.258451 253.511685 386.537794 573.801603
2025-01-05 18.681056 44.564816 87.857734 158.630484 264.323953 409.270135 615.419366
2025-01-12 16.075155 41.066432 84.505689 157.413320 268.430234 422.905195 645.154862
2025-01-19 13.910937 38.071476 81.690700 156.785220 273.260534 437.555948 676.484034
2025-01-26 12.947779 37.341329 82.648360 162.116889 287.033009 464.965493 725.707980
2025-02-02 11.821935 36.094861 82.569275 165.703559 298.212077 488.875155 770.471276
2025-02-09 10.898018 35.138403 82.897386 169.898375 310.346651 514.295441 817.651435
2025-02-16 10.174432 34.524135 83.781558 175.008356 323.974237 542.069603 868.510926
2025-02-23 8.310537 30.847418 78.557917 169.422428 320.655421 545.083528 884.481999
2025-03-02 7.027136 28.326921 75.294617 166.960521 322.060238 554.898016 910.100302
2025-03-09 6.256862 27.002818 74.283358 168.369242 329.630370 573.896911 949.051823
2025-03-16 5.655963 26.028009 73.891704 170.832120 338.922098 595.575102 992.115137